ClimateEast Africa🇸🇴🇪🇹🇰🇪
Will the Horn of Africa have over 5m people at IPC Phase 4+ by Q4 2026?
Resolves YES if the FEWS NET or IPC late-2026 update reports more than 5 million people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) or higher across Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Closes in 2mo
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Projected pool ₦0
Pre-launch preview · demo figuresYes probability
40%
+0.00% since yesterday
No
60%
YES 40% NO 60%
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Amount (₦)
Avg price40%
Potential payout₦2.5K
Potential profit₦1.5K
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Resolves via
https://www.ipcinfo.org/