ConflictEast Africa🇸🇴
Will Somali forces retake a major Al-Shabaab town in 2026?
Resolves YES if Somali federal forces (or ATMIS) retake and hold a major (over 50k population) Al-Shabaab-controlled town for 60+ days in 2026.
Closes in 2mo
0 demo stakers
Projected pool ₦0
Pre-launch preview · demo figuresYes probability
38%
+0.00% since yesterday
No
62%
YES 38% NO 62%
No stakes yet. Be first.
Place your stake
Amount (₦)
Avg price38%
Potential payout₦2.6K
Potential profit₦1.6K
Min ₦100 · Demo wallet · Trade responsibly
Live flow
₦0
Waiting for first stake…
Streams up as predictions land
Resolves via
https://reliefweb.int/country/som