ConflictNorth Africa🇸🇩
Will a Sudan ceasefire hold for 30+ consecutive days before Dec 2026?
Resolves YES if any formally declared SAF-RSF ceasefire holds for 30 consecutive days per UN monitoring before 31 Dec 2026.
Closes in 2mo
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Pre-launch preview · demo figuresYes probability
22%
+0.00% since yesterday
No
78%
YES 22% NO 78%
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Amount (₦)
Avg price22%
Potential payout₦4.5K
Potential profit₦3.5K
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Resolves via
https://www.un.org/en/